tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4535367891237919312.post8336679872463237345..comments2023-12-24T09:37:17.116-05:00Comments on Man OverBoard: Statistical review of seasonal effects on Kickstarter fundingPaul Owenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02260814589584723033noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4535367891237919312.post-60625715173786390172017-05-20T15:00:20.048-04:002017-05-20T15:00:20.048-04:00There are also fewer total projects to back during...There are also fewer total projects to back during those first two months of each year. We've noticed that creators tend to avoid starting any campaigns during January. It would appear that this is largely due to January's reputation as a poor month for retail sales (due not only to Christmas effects but also to northern-hemisphere wintry weather and such that encourages people to stay home), although the same trends that affect American brick-and-mortar retail sales don't necessarily affect worldwide Internet crowdfunding pledges as much. In any case, the number of live campaigns usually falls throughout January and then slowly rebounds during February. Fewer live campaigns naturally result in fewer finishes, both successful and unsuccessful. And some data suggests that success rates (not tallies) during January are about the same as rates for February through June. So, you might want to try analyzing the rates along with the tallies.David Garberhttps://www.facebook.com/DaveGarber1975FTnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4535367891237919312.post-70728961284724887262015-01-16T22:02:31.832-05:002015-01-16T22:02:31.832-05:00Paul, good question. My hypothesis (unsubstantiat...Paul, good question. My hypothesis (unsubstantiated by data) is that people have less disposable income for backing Kickstarter projects generally after holiday gift-giving. In the specific case of games, I would also speculate that game-players give and receive a lot of games around the holidays, so the impulse to back a game project is less strong. The months for these statistics reflect the campaign end dates, and the actual funding campaign is active for up to 60 days prior to that end date. That, plus the "January credit card bill," are the reasons that I think February-funding projects are still affected by holiday spending.Paul Owenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02260814589584723033noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4535367891237919312.post-15411972961805102962015-01-16T18:12:43.942-05:002015-01-16T18:12:43.942-05:00Good trend analysis, bearing in mind you have only...Good trend analysis, bearing in mind you have only two data points per month. Care to make a hypothesis as to the cause of the low levels in Jan & Feb? <br />Kriegspielerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16249933193318725220noreply@blogger.com